NOAA Maintains Below-Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has updated its forecast for the Atlantic hurricane season, maintaining its prediction of below-normal activity.

Houston, TX, August 7, 2026 —
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has reaffirmed its forecast for the Atlantic hurricane season, continuing to predict a period of below-normal activity. The updated outlook suggests that the conditions conducive to hurricane development are less likely to emerge this season.
NOAA’s prediction takes into account various atmospheric and oceanic factors that influence storm formation. While the specific details of the updated forecast, such as the exact number of storms predicted, were not provided in the summary, the agency’s assessment points towards a reduced likelihood of significant hurricane development across the Atlantic basin.
The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs from June 1 to November 30 each year. Forecasters at NOAA continually monitor a range of climate signals, including sea surface temperatures, wind patterns, and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, to develop their seasonal outlooks. These predictions are crucial for emergency management agencies, coastal communities, and businesses in preparing for potential impacts.
The agency’s updated assessment indicates that prevailing environmental conditions are expected to suppress hurricane activity. This could include factors such as increased wind shear, which can disrupt storm formation and intensification, or cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in key development regions.
Further details regarding the specific parameters and reasoning behind NOAA’s maintained forecast for a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season were not available in the provided summary. However, the consistent prediction highlights a trend that deviates from historically active seasons.
Story summarized from the original created by KTRKWWWgeneral@email.disney.com(KTRK-TV Houston) on abc13.com, see more information here.
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